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Prediction market on manifold. For any reason. The tanker must have been on the water. Full or empty, doesn't matter. Intentional demolition or scuttling counts but it can't have been planned ahead and intentional. Sinking counts as destroyed. Accidentally crashing and being abandoned and sinking counts even if it's pilot error Intentional planned launch, evac, then sinking wouldn't. Piracy followed by the pirates planning to sink it and then doing so would count. Update 2026-05-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Destroyed means the ship is no longer usable for its purpose as a ship. Specifically: If a ship sinks but is quickly restored and rebuilt to function as a ship again, it does not count as destroyed If a ship sinks and is left down or salvaged only for parts/metal, it does count as destroyed
24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/30/2026.