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Prediction market on manifold. I have a list of night market ideas I'd like to see happen at Manifest 2026, but unfortunately cannot run all of them myself. I am pitching other people in the hopes of convince them to take some on. I will be trying pretty hard lobbying. Bet on how persuasive I am. Resolution criteria: Resolves at the end of Manifest 2026 based on what actually happened during the night market. If someone came up with a similar idea without influence from my list, it does not count. Ideas I run myself don't count. I am not seeking to evaluate fidelity to original description. I have not put that much thought to the logistics / details of these booths. The resolution is based on counterfactual inspiration of execution. Resolution will be determined by observable presence at the Manifest 2026 night market.
24h Volume: $5. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 5/22/2027.