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Prediction market on manifold. Walter Isaacson believes it will happen: https://www.thecooldown.com/green-business/tesla-xai-merger-elon-musk-walter-isaacson/ Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If xAI merges with SpaceX first, this market will still resolve YES if the resulting entity (SpaceX/xAI) subsequently merges with Tesla by the end of 2027.
24h Volume: $71.098. Liquidity: $1,010. Resolves: 12/31/2027.