Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next. Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day will not be considered. Weekend closes count: The market will consider close-to-close price movements from Friday to Monday as a single day-to-day comparison for the purposes of determining if there was a >5% decrease.

24h Volume: $100. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2027.