Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?

Prediction market on manifold. The next New Zealand general election is to be held on or before Saturday, 19 December 2026, most likely in November 2026 although it could be called at any time. Will be resolved based on the results available at https://electionresults.govt.nz/. Resolution will be for the largest party, not necessarily the party that enters government. Largest party will be by number of seats, using party vote percent if there is a tie.

24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/19/2026.