Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?
Prediction market on manifold. The Green Party of England and Wales has been on a tear since Zack Polanski took charge in September, rising from historic averages of 6-7% to highs of 16%. Will that rise continue? Resolves YES if Greens rises to and then stays at or above 20% in the Politico Poll of Polls for a period of 14 consecutive days, all of which must fall within 2026 (i.e. the streak cannot start after 17th December). Otherwise resolves NO on 17th December.
24h Volume: $5. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.