Will total 2026 DeFi hack losses exceed $1 billion on DefiLlama by May 31, 2026?

Prediction market on metaculus. DeFi (decentralized finance) protocols have been frequent targets of exploits, with billions stolen historically. 2026 has been an unusually severe year: per DefiLlama's hacks database, Q1 2026 saw roughly $169M lost across DeFi protocols, but April 2026 alone saw over $600M stolen — driven by major incidents including the Kelp DAO bridge exploit (~$292M) and the Drift Protocol exploit (~$285M) — making April 2026 one of the worst single months for crypto hacks on record. As of mid-May 2026, DefiLlama-cited reporting placed cumulative 2026 DeFi hack losses in the range of roughly $750–800M. Early-May incidents listed on DefiLlama (e.g., Thorchain DEX ~$10M on May 15, Transit Finance ~$1.88M on May 13, Adshares ~$628K on May 16) have been relatively modest, but a single large exploit could push the YTD figure over $1B before month end. DefiLlama maintains the most widely cited live dashboard of DeFi exploits, aggregating incidents reported by PeckShield, security firms, and protocol teams. The "Total Value Hacked in DeFi" metric on DefiLlama's hacks page tracks cumulative DeFi-specific losses (excluding bridges, which are categorized separately). `{"format": "llm_question", "info": {"rating": {"quality": 3, "ambiguity": 3, "resolvability": 4, "passes": true}}}`

Resolves: 5/31/2026.