Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?

Prediction market on manifold. Market Rules & Resolution Criteria: YES Outcome: Resolves to Yes if any of the following occur: Trump is inaugurated as President of the United States for a term that begins after January 20, 2029,whether through an election, legal maneuvering, or any other means. Trump is an official candidate for U.S. President in an election held after November 2028, as evidenced by FEC filings, ballot access, or participation in official debates. Trump takes control of the U.S. government through extralegal means, including but not limited to: Declaring himself president without winning an election. Refusing to leave office and maintaining effective control. Seizing power through military, paramilitary, or legal loopholes (e.g., emergency powers, martial law, or indefinite extensions of his authority). Acting as a de facto ruler with executive authority despite not holding the formal title of president. NO Outcome: Resolves to No if none of the above conditions occur by January 1, 2035. Ambiguous Cases: If Trump claims victory but does not exercise real executive power, the market resolves to No (unless he demonstrably holds de facto control). If he establishes a parallel government but does not control federal executive functions, the market resolves to No unless the international community or the majority of U.S. institutions recognize his authority. If a legal battle over his power arises, resolution is based on official recognition by either the Supreme Court, Congress, or international bodies like the U.N.

24h Volume: $250. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2035.