If a Republican wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
Prediction market on manifold. If a Republican does not win, this question will be resolved N/A Multiple answers can resolve yes as follows: "Banned in all cases" and "Banned with exceptions" are mutually exclusive. If either of them resolve YES, then "Banned after X weeks" will resolve YES. If "Banned after X weeks" resolves YES, "Banned after Y weeks" (Y > X) resolves YES If "None of the above" resolves YES, nothing else resolves YES (obviously) "exceptions" includes life of the mother, rape/incest, and other exceptions that affect (cumulatively) <10% of pregnancies. If abortions for teenage pregnancies were be completely banned, and no other abortions were restricted, this market would resolve "None of the above."
24h Volume: $60. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2027.