New Iranian Supreme Leader is chosen in March 2026 and killed in March 2026.

Prediction market on manifold. Update 2026-03-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on the date of death, not the date of injury. Update 2026-03-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Creator will delay resolution due to uncertainty about whether the subject is currently alive. The market may remain unresolved for an extended period while the situation becomes clearer.

24h Volume: $68.289. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/30/2026.