Will an LLM beat a Super GM Bot on chess.com by 2028?

Prediction market on manifold. The LLM must not be trained to play adversarially. I am going with an academic definition of LLM (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Large_language_model) All meaningful computation must be done on the network, thus Monte Carlo Search is disallow, but recurrent nets are allowed Update 2025-06-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An LLM that acts as an agent that uses tools or writes its own algorithm for depth search will not count towards a YES resolution.

24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2028.