When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?

Prediction market on manifold. It has been a long time coming. I am expecting an announcement first by GRR Martin, and then a release date thereafter. Subject of this question is the release date i.e. can actually buy it, as opposed to announcement. Dates can include Posthumous publication with input from other writers such as with wheel of time finale. I'll add some more year options as I get the budget, so "other" will shrink as the options increase, while still including "never". Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Will resolve when on publication date (rather than announcement) Resolves once, as a whole, to the single correct year; individual year options will not be resolved separately.

24h Volume: $78.145. Liquidity: $1,500. Resolves: 8/3/3023.