Will a Christian Rapture-Like Event (CRLE) happen before the World Cup 2026, as foretold by Bluesky prophecy?
Prediction market on manifold. https://bsky.app/profile/joshuajfriedman.com/post/3lzhzqp7e7c2f [image]For the purpose of this market, a Christian Rapture-Like Event occurs iff: At least 70 people Who are probably Christian (broad) Get raptured For reasons that are unlikely to be connected to terrorism, worldly violence, or outgroup conflict And aren’t able to be contacted again by friends or loved ones Not all Christians need to be taken, just a couple of them, say 70. All satisfied options to resolve YES. open questions to discuss in the comments: does death count? should any judeo Christian branch count? (Leaning yes) does disappearance (à la LaHaye and Jenkins, 1995) count? or must there be an ascendance to heaven, calls of trumpets, etc? My own subjective reasoning will resolve in the end but I can be swayed by discussion, so keep an eye on the comments before putting a large stake. I am (very reluctantly) Christian, so if I get taken (or if, say, I get sent to the eternal fires of Heck for being trans), the mods will resolve however they see fit. Be sure to bicker about it in the comments, it drives engagement. Update 2025-09-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Self-induced “raptures” count: Events like Jonestown-style mass self-rapture would qualify toward YES, provided they are not tied to terrorism or global/worldly conflict. Potential re-resolution: If it’s later discovered the raptees did not reach Heaven, the creator may ask mods to re-resolve. Exclusions reiterated: Acts involving terrorism or global/worldly conflict do not count; e.g., a group killing other Christians is treated as worldly conflict and excluded.
24h Volume: $10. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 7/1/2026.