Which happens first? Starliner-2, Psyche arrival, Artemis III, or New Glenn 15?

Prediction market on manifold. [tweet]Update 2025-06-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the Artemis III option: A mission will count as Artemis III if it is officially designated as such, even if the nature of that mission changes radically from its original or current plans. Update 2025-09-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Starliner-2: Counts when NASA officially designates a mission as "Starliner-2". If no mission is designated "Starliner-2" (e.g., it's skipped or canceled), this outcome does not occur. New Glenn 15: Refers to the 15th flight of New Glenn (counting flights), not a specific named mission.

24h Volume: $154.407. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 9/1/2029.