Which Org Causes AI Disaster?
Prediction market on manifold. This market will resolve to the entity most responsible for triggering a YES resolution to the market "Does an AI disaster kill at least 100 people before 2040?" (https://manifold.markets/ScroogeMcDuck/does-an-ai-disaster-kill-at-least-1-73bcb6a788ab). If no disaster triggers a YES resolution to the disaster market, this market will resolve N/A. If it's unclear what entity is responsible for the disaster, I'll ask leading AIs for advice. If they don't provide a clear answer, I'll resolve it N/A. I'm hoping this market will provide a little help in determining whether the AI disaster was due to recklessness at a single company, versus AI being generally dangerous.
24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,100. Resolves: 1/1/2040.