When will there be ≥10GW of data center capacity in space?
Prediction market on manifold. Resolution Criteria: Resolves YES for an option if, by that date, space-based data centers meet ALL of: 1. Location: In space (beyond the Kármán line, 100km altitude) 2. Aggregate capacity: ≥10GW total power draw capacity across all qualifying space-based data center infrastructure, cumulative across all operators and facilities 3. AI compute: Each contributing facility must be used for machine learning workloads (training or inference) 4. Power accounting: Counts power draw by compute equipment (GPUs/TPUs/accelerators, CPUs, memory, networking, cooling). Solar collection capacity does not count. 5. Operational threshold: Each contributing facility must demonstrate ≥30 days continuous operation to count toward the total
24h Volume: $3.816. Liquidity: $2,000. Resolves: 12/31/2039.