Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if, before January 1, 2031, a space-based data center system meets ALL of: Location: In space (beyond the Kármán line, 100km altitude) Functional compute: Actively processing workloads with data transfer to/from Earth Coherent system: Either a single structure or a distributed constellation capable of training a standard distributed transformer model (e.g., data-parallel or tensor-parallel training with gradient synchronization). Compute capacity should be no less than a terrestrial 100MW data center running H100s could achieve. Scale and duration: ≥100MW average power draw by all equipment necessary for operation of the data center (including GPUs/TPUs/accelerators, CPUs, memory, networking, and cooling), sustained for ≥30 days continuous operation. Solar collection capacity does not count.

24h Volume: $572.664. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2030.