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Prediction market on manifold. If any Harvard College (undergraduate) class up to and including the class of 2032 (admitted in the fall of 2028) is less than 10.0% Black, this market resolves yes. Methodology: the Crimson publishes demographics of each admitted class that remains searchable. From the class of 2017 to 2026 this figure as ranged from 9.7% (2017) to 15.8% (2024). See e.g. https://features.thecrimson.com/2014/freshman-survey/makeup/
Liquidity: $1,230. Resolves: 10/1/2028.