Loading
Prediction market on manifold. This question resolves to the TIME 2028 Person of The Year. If you would like to add a new candidate or consolidated answer to the market, submit them in a comment below. If a comment gets enough support, I will temporarily open the market to submissions so that you can add it and you'll get the unique trader bonuses. I will N/A any absurd, duplicate or overlapping submission. All consolidated answers must be mutually exclusive, so no more specific or general versions of existing options. If multiple options end up true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%. In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article. H/T: Copied from @Joshua Update 2025-12-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a person appears in multiple answer options (e.g., Taylor Swift is both a standalone option and becomes a presidential nominee), the market will resolve 50/50 between those applicable options. Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a person appears in multiple answer options (e.g., someone is both a standalone option and becomes a presidential nominee), the market will resolve with an even split between all applicable options. For example, if Elon Musk is VP and Person of the Year, both the "Musk" option and the "[presidential nominee]" option would each resolve to 50%.
24h Volume: $11.468. Liquidity: $3,300. Resolves: 12/31/2028.