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Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market resolves YES if the United States conducts a military offensive in which combatants are sent to forcefully enter Turkish territory between March 1, 2026 and March 1, 2046 and intentionally kill over 10 Turkish soldiers. Resolution requires documented evidence of U.S. military forces engaging in hostile operations on Turkish soil with the intent to occupy territory or effect political/military objectives. Routine military exercises, training operations, or peacekeeping missions do not qualify. The resolution will be determined by credible news sources, official U.S. government statements, and international reporting. This description was generated by AI.
24h Volume: $268.026. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 3/1/2046.