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Prediction market on manifold. At the end of July, I'll ask the organizers of plzdontkillus.com (@Brangus, @Aella, @OliverHabryka, etc) for their best estimate of the number of views all creator and mentor content received across TikTok, Instagram, YouTube, and X over the course of the program. If they don't get back to me or make this data available, I'll estimate this directly from the social media profiles of participants. Resolves based on the total views on August 1 of all content (longform videos, shorts, posts, etc.) posted during the month of July by mentors and participants of the program.
24h Volume: $1,574.123. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 7/31/2026.