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Prediction market on manifold. Each year in June, you may submit entries into a lottery system to win the right to purchase tickets for the Master's and/or the Augusta National Women's Amateur. I have submitted for the max number of tickets for every practice day (4 tickets) and every tournament day (2 tickets) for the Masters as well as submitting for 4 tickets for the final round of the ANWA (the only round at Augusta). Information on the odds of winning this are limited/inconsistent online. I'm interested in seeing what the community believes the odds are so I can better align my expectations in each future year. This resolves YES if my entry is selected for purchasing tickets on any of the above mentioned days so that I can go to Augusta for at least one of those days. It will still resolve YES even if I get approved for less tickets then requested for the day I receive so long as I can get at least 1 ticket. If I am able to attend through someone else's entry as one of their guests but my own doesn't win then the market will resolve NO. Results are normally disclosed in the 2nd half of July. I will resolve after I receive notice of my results.
24h Volume: $100. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 10/31/2026.