How many more US government shutdowns will there be in Trumps second term?

Prediction market on manifold. Since market creation. Uses https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_shutdowns_in_the_United_States as resolution source. Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The first shutdown (occurring around market creation) is not counted in the total. For the market to resolve to ≥1, there would need to be a second shutdown during Trump's second term.

24h Volume: $1,858.174. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2029.