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Prediction market on manifold. How it works After this market closes, I will ask @FairlyRandom to generate a random number M among 1 to 100 in the comments. The Mth unique trader of this market wins 300 mana from the lottery prize pool, if such a trader exists. Otherwise, the lottery falls through till next time. For free play, make a trade with 1 mana and sell it. Your trade will be recorded and you will become a unique trader. This market will resolve to xx%. AT2019qiz (happened about 2.15*10^x light-years away) refers to a prominent tidal disruption event, where a star passes too close to a supermassive black hole and is torn apart. Previous winners @PaperBoy 100Ṁ @hogshedges 100Ṁ @Pancarre 300Ṁ @wolf 400Ṁ @Chumchulum 200Ṁ @KarlWang 4000Ṁ @WobertqUIQz 300Ṁ @2ndPairofBoots 300Ṁ @jbm 300Ṁ @AritificialJudgement 300Ṁ @Primer 300Ṁ @Brierbr 300Ṁ
Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 6/3/2026.