Will in-vitro gametogenesis be used to produce a functional embryo by 2028?

Prediction market on manifold. context: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07526-6 https://www.theguardian.com/society/2024/mar/08/scientists-closer-making-ivf-eggs-skin-cells Egg must be produced through in vitro gametogenesis. Origin of sperm unimportant. Whether the fertilized egg is used or discarded does not affect resolution, as long as the consensus is that it is capable of implanting and being carried to term. Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding evidence standards for resolution: anonymous sources in a reputable publication are sufficient, as is confirmation from a trusted expert in the field. General hearsay is not sufficient.

24h Volume: $20. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2028.