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Prediction market on manifold. This resolves to 40%, 30%, 20%, and 10% of the top 4 publicly traded AI-related stocks whose price increases by the largest factor as a consequence of fast AI development. Resolves to N/A if AI progress does not result in a >3x increase of the S&P 500 by the end of 2028. Resolves according to my judgment. I will not trade in this market from 5 minutes after creation. (Edit: I forgot about this and messed up, but tried to reverse my trades.) I may make modifications to the resolution criteria based on feedback.
24h Volume: $40. Liquidity: $1,685. Resolves: 1/1/2029.