Will Ukraine control Slavyansk at the end of October 2027?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market will resolve YES if, at the close date, Ukraine controls the entirety of Slavyansk, Donetsk Oblast. This market will resolve NO if, at the close date, Ukraine does not control the entire city. For the duration of the war, any YES or NO resolution must be supported by a majority of the following sources: UAControlMap UkrDailyUpdate AMK Mapping Radov Close date This market is set to close at 22:00 UTC on 31 October 2027. Clarifications This market will use the city boundaries displayed on the Google Maps app. Note that Google may adjust city boundaries over time. If there is an equal number of sources supporting a YES resolution and a NO resolution at the close date, the market may resolve 50%. If a resolution source fails to update for 30 consecutive days, it may be removed as a resolution source. A majority of the remaining sources will then be required for a YES resolution. Slavyansk is also known as Slovyansk or Sloviansk.

24h Volume: $91. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 10/31/2027.