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Prediction market on manifold. The pardon can be for a specific act or crime or could be a blanket pardon. Background Presidential pardons are a constitutional power granted to the President of the United States under Article II, Section 2. A pardon can be issued preemptively (before any charges or conviction) or after conviction, and can be specific to certain crimes or a blanket pardon covering a period of time. Currently, there are no public criminal charges against Elon Musk that would require a presidential pardon. Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump, while serving as President of the United States, issues any form of presidential pardon (specific or blanket) to Elon Musk. The market will resolve NO if Trump's presidential term ends without issuing a pardon to Musk. For resolution purposes: The pardon must be officially issued through proper legal channels Public statements or promises about future pardons do not count The pardon must explicitly name Elon Musk as a recipient If Trump issues a broad pardon that includes multiple individuals including Musk, this would still resolve YES Considerations Presidential pardons can only apply to federal crimes, not state-level charges Pardons can be issued preemptively, even if no charges have been filed
24h Volume: $100. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/22/2029.