The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Drone Swarm Assassinate a Public Figure by 2040?

Prediction market on manifold. Inspired by the Kim Stanley Robinson novel "The Ministry for the Future". Robinson describes drone swarms as follows: "They were more powerful than the atomic bomb, in this very particular sense: you could use them. And they couldn’t be stopped ... They were small, they launched from mobile launchers, they came from all directions in a coordinated attack in which they only congregated at their target in the last few second of their flights." They are a menace to anybody with name recognition in the book. Will this become reality?

24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2040.