Will Labor lead One Nation in the polls at the end of June 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market will resolve YES if, at the close date, Labor has a larger primary vote share than One Nation according to a majority of the following pollsters: Roy Morgan Pyxis (Newspoll) Essential YouGov DemosAU This market will otherwise resolve NO. Close date This market is set to close at 14:00 UTC on 30 June 2026, although it may resolve sooner. Clarifications The most recently published voting intention poll from each pollster at the close date will be used. I may trade in this market.

24h Volume: $100. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/30/2026.