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Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat. The outcome will be determined based on official results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth. If the primary is canceled or no candidate is declared the winner, the market will resolve as N/A. Background Incumbent Senator Ed Markey, who has served since 2013, has announced his intention to seek re-election in 2026. At that time, he will be 80 years old. (bostonglobe.com) Alex Rikleen, a history teacher, has declared his candidacy for the Democratic primary. (en.wikipedia.org) Representative Jake Auchincloss, serving Massachusetts's 4th congressional district since 2021, has not ruled out a primary challenge against Markey. (bostonglobe.com) Other potential candidates include Katherine Clark, Ayanna Pressley, Seth Moulton, Joseph Kennedy III, Marty Walsh, and Michelle Wu, though none have officially declared their intentions as of now. Considerations Senator Markey's age has been a topic of discussion, with some questioning whether he should seek another term. (bostonglobe.com) Additionally, the potential entry of younger candidates like Auchincloss could influence the dynamics of the primary race. (bostonglobe.com)
24h Volume: $761.566. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 9/16/2026.