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Prediction market on polymarket. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between THUNDER dOWNUNDER and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 4 at 8:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "THUNDER dOWNUNDER" if THUNDER dOWNUNDER wins Map 1 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. THUNDER dOWNUNDER's round total on Map 1 exceeds FlyQuest's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FlyQuest". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Resolves: 6/4/2026.