Loading
Prediction market on manifold. All pairs both in the next government (after the 2026 danish election) or both not in the government resolve to YES. All pairs with one party in and one party out resolve as NO. If a party does not win any seats it's corresponding pairs resolve as N/A. For the purposes of this market confidence and supply agreements count as being in the government. Clarification: What polymarket counts as "in the government" (here) + any parties listed on wikipedia as being governing parties or in a confidence and supply agreement with thereof (here) will count here as "in the government". If no government is formed before 2028 all pairs resolve N/A. Parties: Social Democrats (wiki) social democracy center left, in last government, current prime minister Venstre (wiki) conservative liberalism, Nordic agrarianism center right, in last government Moderates (wiki) liberalism center to center right, in last government Green Left (wiki) democratic socialism, green politics, popular socialism center left to left wing Liberal Alliance (wiki) classical liberalism, right-libertarianism center right to right wing Conservative People's Party (wiki) conservatism, liberal conservatism, social conservatism center right Social Liberal Party (wiki) social liberalism, pro-Europeanism center to center left Current parliament composition: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Folketing Election results: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Danish_general_election#2025_2 Update 2026-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market is about the Danish election (not Dutch), despite the description mentioning "dutch election".
24h Volume: $1,075.064. Liquidity: $1,025. Resolves: 1/11/2028.