Will OpenAI publicly file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before September 1, 2026?

Prediction market on metaculus. New York Times (May 20, 2026) [OpenAI Prepares to File to Go Public in Coming Weeks](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/20/technology/openai-ipo.html):  > OpenAI, the maker of the ChatGPT chatbot, is preparing to file confidentially for an initial public offering in the coming weeks, two people with knowledge of the matter said, laying the groundwork for one of the largest artificial intelligence company offerings that would heighten the stakes of the technology race. > OpenAI is working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to prepare the paperwork, said the people, who were not authorized to speak publicly about private discussions. OpenAI is closely watching the stock market, they added, and the timing of any filing remains in flux. If a filing comes soon, an I.P.O. could take place as soon as September. > OpenAI overcame a significant hurdle on Monday on the way to a possible I.P.O. when a federal judge and jury rejected a lawsuit from Mr. Musk that aimed to unravel the for-profit company that OpenAI created last year.

Resolves: 9/1/2026.