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Prediction market on manifold. This question considers the combined population of Israel and the Palestinian territories, including any territories annexed by these states. It will be resolved using data from the CIA World Factbook as available on 31 December 2035. For context, according to the CIA World Factbook consulted on 29 May 2024: Israel (including the Golan Heights): 9,402,617 inhabitants, 73.5% Jewish (2022 est.). West Bank (including Israeli settlements): 3,243,369 inhabitants, 12-14% Jewish (2012 est.). Gaza Strip: 2,141,643 inhabitants, 0% Jewish (2012 est.). Total: 14,787,629 inhabitants, 49.6% Jewish (using 13% for the West Bank). Please note that estimates vary. For instance, Israeli demographer Arnon Soffer, a professor of geography at Haifa University, estimated the Jewish proportion in Israel and Palestine at between 46% and 47% in 2022. Combining various sources, Wikipedia gives, as of May 2024, the population of Israel/Palestine combined as 50.7% Jewish. Again, the only source for this question will be the CIA World Factbook (or its successor).
24h Volume: $166.48. Liquidity: $1,500. Resolves: 12/31/2035.