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Prediction market on manifold. https://www.admin.ch/gov/de/start/dokumentation/paquetsuisseue.html (description therein available in DE/FR/IT, see top-right corner) Popular vote on the matter expected in 2027/2028 by referendum. Its outcome determines market resolution, whatever the decided requirement (could be voter-only or voter-and-canton majority, will be settled when and if the vote is organized). If no referendum takes place market resolves N/A (extremely unlikely, as largest party is dead set against the deal).
24h Volume: $3.061. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2030.