Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?

Prediction market on manifold. This question will resolve as YES if a major world war involving at least 3 of the world's 5 most powerful military nations (USA, Russia, China, UK, and France) breaks out and results in the loss of at least 1 million lives before the end of 2050. Otherwise, it will resolve as NO. For the purpose of this question, a "major world war" is defined as a conflict in which multiple countries engage in sustained combat operations on a global scale, involving ground, sea, and air forces. The conflict must also last for a significant period of time, with major casualties on both sides. This definition excludes smaller-scale conflicts, regional skirmishes, or civil wars that do not involve the participation of multiple major military powers.

24h Volume: $3.099. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2050.