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Prediction market on manifold. Artemis 3 ... is planned as the first crewed Moon landing mission of the Artemis program [Wikipedia] Eric Berger recently wrote a column in which he quoted an unnamed industry insider as saying about Artemis 3, "it may happen in 2028, but I'm not sure it will be on SLS". Will Artemis 3 launch humans to the moon with SLS? If Artemis 3 is cancelled or is not a crewed launch atop SLS, this will resolve NO, unless a substantially similiar mission replaces it using a crewed SLS. (If Artemis 2 is canceled or is not a crewed SLS checkout, most probably this will resolve NO early, unless there is reason to assume Artemis 3 is still on track) Close date updated to 2028-01-01 6:59 pm
24h Volume: $0.602. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2028.