Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?

Prediction market on manifold. This market resolves to "YES" if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series of fantasy novels is released before the death of the author, George R. R. Martin. Mar 20, 12:36am: Trading ends on 20th September 2049 - GRRMs 100th birthday.

24h Volume: $3.413. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 9/19/2049.