Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?

Prediction market on manifold. Major earthquake would involve property damage of over $1B or loss of life over 100. Epicenter has to be within 50 miles of San Francisco. Loma Prieta quake would not have qualified due to distance.

24h Volume: $4.013. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2031.