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Prediction market on manifold. Will China fly taikonauts in cislunar space before Chinese New Year 2028? As long as they are withing the sphere of influence it counts. https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/isaacman-chinese-taikonauts-likely-to-fly-around-moon-in-2027/ Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if China launches a crewed spacecraft carrying at least one human astronaut (taikonaut) that successfully enters cislunar space or the Moon's gravitational sphere of influence (including lunar flybys, circumlunar trajectories, lunar orbit, or landing) before Chinese New Year 2028 Background While China's officially declared objective is to land taikonauts on the lunar surface by 2030, observers and aerospace officials have suggested precursor missions are planned. In May 2026, NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman publicly stated that China is "likely" to conduct a crewed flyby around the Moon in 2027. China is currently developing its next-generation crewed spacecraft, Mengzhou, and the Long March 10 rocket. A crewed cislunar flight in 2027 would represent a significant step in the modern space race, marking the first time a nation other than the United States has sent humans into the lunar environment. ( I am adding a bit of time to Isaacman's prediction)
24h Volume: $10. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 2/29/2028.