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Prediction market on manifold. Definitions: "Renaming" does NOT include pure translation. Kyiv to Kiev, Tbilisi to Tiflis, Almaty to Alma-Ata, Yerevan to Erivan etc would all be considered translations, not renamings. "Major city" and "city" here mean a city with a current population over 1 million (see list below). "Putingrad or similar" means any derivative of Vladimir Putin's name, including Putinskiy, Vladgrad, Vovaville etc. "Annexed" means urban center is controlled by Russian forces, and official Russian maps include the city as integral to Russia. This poll will close upon a renaming, or 1 Jan 2050, whichever is first. Major cities within current borders of Russia: Moscow Saint Petersburg (1914-1924 Petrograd, 1924-1991 Leningrad) Novosibirsk Yekaterinburg (1924-1991 Sverdlovsk) Kazan Nizhny Novgorod (1932-1990 Gorky) Chelyabinsk Krasnoyarsk Samara (1935-1991 Kuybyshev) Ufa Rostov-on-Don Omsk Krasnodar Voronezh Perm (1940-1957 Molotov) Volgograd (1589-1925 Tsaritsyn, 1925-1961 Stalingrad) Major cities ex-Soviet Central Asia: Tashkent Almaty (1867-1921 Verny) Astana (1961-1998 Tselinograd, 2019-2022 Nur-Sultan) Shymkent (1914-1924 Chernyayevo) Bishkek (1862-1926 Pishpek, 1926-1991 Frunze) Dushanbe (1929-1961 Stalinabad) Ashgabat (1919-1927 Poltoratsk) Major cities in ex-Soviet Caucasus: Baku Yerevan Tbilisi Major cities in ex-Soviet Europe: Kyiv Minsk
24h Volume: $35. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2050.