Will the U.S. employment-population ratio for ages 25-54 fall below 70% by 2035?

Prediction market on metaculus. We use this question to measure large changes in aggregate employment. In April 2026, the ratio was 80.7%. You can see the [series on FRED](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12300060#). A rate of 70% was last achieved during COVID and, before that, the late 1970s. 

Resolves: 7/5/2026.