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Prediction market on metaculus. The [Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nasdaq-100) is a stock market index composed of 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange, heavily weighted toward technology companies like Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta. As of the close on May 29, 2026 (the most recent trading day before this question was finalized), NDX closed at **30,333.18**, up 0.36% on the day. The index has rallied strongly from the high-28,000s in mid-May 2026, breaking above the 29,750 technical resistance level around May 26, with bullish momentum carrying it above 30,000. The next commonly-cited resistance level is near 31,000. To close at or above 31,000 on June 12, 2026, the index would need to gain approximately 2.2% from its May 29 close over roughly two weeks of trading. Notable market catalysts in this window include the rumored SpaceX IPO around June 12, 2026, which some analysts speculate could mark an intermediate-term top or trigger consolidation. The Nasdaq-100 had a roughly 3.7% correction during May 2026 before recovering. `{"format": "llm_question", "info": {"rating": {"quality": 3, "ambiguity": 4, "resolvability": 4, "passes": true}}}`
Resolves: 6/12/2026.