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Prediction market on manifold. When will the US/USA/America conduct a successful crewed Moon/lunar landing? Resolves to the year in which they first make such a landing, not including dates earlier than the creation of this market (so, the Apollo landings do not count). A successful mission is defined as a mission in which at least one astronaut walks upon the lunar surface.
24h Volume: $200. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 2/20/2040.