Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?

Prediction market on manifold. Peace before 2027. There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen. This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets: [markets]Previously: @/EvanDaniel/will-trump-win-the-2025-nobel-peace

24h Volume: $111.28. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/3/2027.