Will LBJ #5 by Robert Caro come out before 2030?
Prediction market on manifold. Game of Thrones for politics nerds.
I realize that betting on very long term markets isn't well incentivized under the current Manifold system, so I will also pay a few thousand mana to anyone who gives good info in the comments
24h Volume: $61.778. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2030.