Will anyone beat Jeanne Calment's record of 122 years, 164 days by the beginning of 2040?

Prediction market on manifold. Calment set a longevity record when she died on August 4, 1997 at the age of 122 years, 164 days. The second place is held by Kane Tanaka at 119 years, 107 days. when she died on April 19, 2022. The number of super-centenarians is growing at 6.1% per year.

24h Volume: $518.855. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 9/6/2028.