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Prediction market on manifold. Will German far-right party AfD (Alternative for Deutschland) be banned by the German government? The party is 21% in opinion polls, and has been rising in popularity. Given, to put it lightly, the controversial history of far-right politics in Germany, will the government follow through on its alleged consideration of a ban. This question will close in 2030. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/13/afd-party-ban-germany-far-right-extremists/#:~:text=Germany%20is%20debating%20whether%20to,members%20are%20becoming%20increasingly%20extreme. [link preview]
24h Volume: $200. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2030.