Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market will resolve to the date on which the first official NBA game is played with no human referees on the court. NBA game: Includes any official NBA Summer League, preseason, regular season, or postseason (play-in/playoffs) game. G-League games, training camp scrimmages, and non-NBA exhibitions do not count. No human referee: There must be zero (0) active human referees physically officiating on the court. The presence of off-court human replay assistants (such as those in the NBA Replay Center), official scorers, timekeepers, or supervisors will not prevent this market from resolving, provided no human referee is on the hardwood. Timezone: Resolution will use the local date of the arena where the game is played. Source of truth: Official NBA game logs, box scores, or reporting from major sports news outlets (e.g., NBA.com, ESPN, or AP News). Background While professional sports have increasingly automated line-calling and boundary decisions, basketball officiating remains heavily reliant on human judgment. In May 2026, NBA Commissioner Adam Silver announced plans to transition purely "objective" decisions—such as out-of-bounds, foot-on-the-line, and goaltending calls—to an automated AI system utilizing Sony's Hawk-Eye 3D camera tracking. However, Silver maintained that human referees will remain on the court for the foreseeable future to handle subjective violations like fouls, flopping, and physical contact. Removing on-court human officials entirely would represent a historic shift in professional sports.
24h Volume: $1,802.778. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2034.